Tuesday, April 30, 2019

The Model Thinker #16 : Markov Models

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Markov models capture systems that transition probabilistically between a finite set of states. One application in finance are Bond cre...
Saturday, April 27, 2019

The Art of the Investment Duel

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When I was young, I've always wondered to myself why folks who disagree about investing would not simply take out $100,000 in cash, st...
5 comments:
Wednesday, April 24, 2019

The Model Thinker #15 : Lyapunov functions and equilibria.

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I don't really want to get to the mathematical derivation of Lyapunov functions but they are a class of equations that allow us to pr...
Sunday, April 21, 2019

The Twin Arrogances in Investing.

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Initially I wanted to just provide a personal update today, but tragedy has befallen my mother's side of the family and, over the ne...
4 comments:
Friday, April 19, 2019

Life Narratives

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It is only when you start becoming a trainer when you start to realise the importance of narratives.  A good narrative is where my bigges...
1 comment:
Tuesday, April 16, 2019

The Model Thinker #14 : Local Interaction Models

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Today's installation is so abstract that I will just describe two local interaction models. First the Local Majority Mode l : --...
1 comment:
Sunday, April 14, 2019

What does it take to be Marriage Material in Singapore ?

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I think it is about time we update some figures on what it takes to be marriage material in Singapore. According to evolutionary psychol...
1 comment:
Friday, April 12, 2019

If you invest with an aim to "Shake Leg" one day, you will never become a Millionaire.

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One of the interesting facet of my work as a trainer is that my work is, at best loosely, coupled with the Dr Wealth Marketing team. This ...
4 comments:
Wednesday, April 10, 2019

The Model Thinker #13 : Path Dependency

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Path dependency happens when current events interfere with future events. There are two extreme models of path dependency. Imagine you h...
1 comment:
Monday, April 08, 2019

Letter to Batch 4 of Early Retirement Masterclass

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I just concluded two days of investment training and as part of a custom, I will share my final letter to my students here. As you c...
1 comment:
Wednesday, April 03, 2019

The Model Thinker #12 : Random Walks

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The simplest form of the random walk is a function that has an equal probability of being +1 or -1. The expected outcome of this function...
Sunday, March 31, 2019

The End of an Era

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Today actually marks the end of an era. Beginning tomorrow 1st April 2019, Tictail, the platform where I sell my books, will shutting down...
1 comment:
Thursday, March 28, 2019

What problem is Financial Independence supposed to solve ?

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I thought it might be a good time to summarise everything I know about The Problem that becoming financial independence is supposed to sol...
11 comments:
Monday, March 25, 2019

The Model Thinker #11 : Entropy : Modelling Uncertainty

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Data falls into four categories. Data could be in equilibrium. A person's height is in equilibrium, as is the stock price for one co...
Saturday, March 23, 2019

BBFA The RPG - From Keyboard Warrior to Marriage Material !

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We all have to begin somewhere in life. I have spent a large part of my younger life as a BBFA so I know that BBFAs have a strong affini...
Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Gaming Analogy for the FIRE movement.

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There are many interesting parallels between the FIRE community and Board gamers. As it turns out Tabletop Gaming magazine talks about ...
5 comments:
Monday, March 18, 2019

The Model Thinker #10 : Broadcast, Diffusion and Contagion.

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What does it mean when it was written in The Economist that a group of whiz kids hired by Barclays Bank modelled the cryptocurrency craze...
2 comments: